You are on page 1of 22

Adam Smith Associates

Pvt. Ltd.
A Global Trade Finance Company

www.adamsmith.tv

http://adamsmithassociates.blogspot.in/

https://adamsmithassociates.tumblr.com/
Technical Analysis - Commodity, Brazil, Euro And
Dollar Index
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - SOY BEAN NCDEX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

Soy bean prices formed an expanding triangle near the 61.8% mark.
Last time I wrote that a bounce can occur because of the triangle but
as shown why not a bottom? Possible Wave Y is over. Either another X
wave up retracing the Y or the start of a major impulse. The trend
should be up as long as we are above 2650. Breakout of the triangle
above 3035 to go to 3286.

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - SOY BEAN NCDEX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - COPPER MCX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

Copper Closed the week down. Now 365 is the next support. Halting
near retracements it is still possible that copper is within a larger
corrective structure. The recent rally is not certainly impulsive.
So if 365 breaks wee can see it go back to test the 353 low [below
2.62$ to 2.48$].

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - COPPER MCX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - ZINC MCX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

Base metals are showing a near term correction after Lead, Aluminium
and Zinc look like completing near term 5 wave rallies. The indication
therefore is of a positive trend ahead but after a pause correction or
retracement. The size of a pullback is hard to say.

For Zinc below the 20dma at 173 is the immediate support. 167 is
the 61.8% retracement mark.

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - ZINC MCX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - CRUDE
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

Crude has fallen in 3 waves so far to 66% retracement. If the low of


43.65 is not broken we can start wave c up to 49.10 or higher.

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - CRUDE
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - SILVER MCX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

Reccent data from CFTC shows that bulls that were record long at the
highs on Silver have given back almost all of their long positions.
With sentiment at just 9% bullish we are at the fag end of the decline
in gold and silver. The chart shows the falling channel for the price, that
I published a while back. At yesterdays low we came close to the line
and we may test it one last time in wave z down. The channel is at
35000. The RSI is also entering the oversold sub-30 range.

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - SILVER MCX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - CORN CBT
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

Corn Prices surged with the rest of the Agro prices on the
international markets. Corn hit a new high as it starts a larger degree
3rd wave up. Wave 3 up points to 460 just based on 3=1. That is a
normal non extended wave over 12 months.

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


COMMODITY - CORN CBT
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


BRAZIL
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

Wave 5 ended in FEB. We are now in the third leg, wave Y, which is a
3 wave decline marked as A-B-C and wave B mostly completed at the
upper Bollinger band in a small 5 wave advance [wave c of B], so wave
C down can go to 56000-55800 if C=A

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


BRAZIL
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


EURO
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

The Euro This morning on the hourly chart shows a clear 5 wave decline
in wave A, and a bounce back which is mostly B. 38.2% at 1.138 or
61.8% at 1.14 may be achieved in wave B after which wave C can
drop to 1.125 or as far as 1.11. The 5 wave decline should mean that
the 5 wave rise from the April low is complete and being corrected.
The first pull back in a larger up trend.

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


EURO
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


DOLLAR INDEX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

Wave 4 up in the dollar is still not complete. This especially as the


Euro bullish sentiment reached a multi year record of nearly 93%.
This reading needs to cool off more and the dollar should at least
move up in wave c of 4 before we see the decline resume.
95.225 was the recent low and till it holds this is the view.

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


DOLLAR INDEX
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv


Disclaimer
Adam Smith Associates Blog | July 15, 2017

We empower our clients by providing values added services that benefits them with
the right knowledge and boosts their business decision on Domestic and International Trade.

To provide the best, we tie up with leading technical analysts in India to offer latest
Relevant updates on currencies, commodities, domestic and internal stock and commodity
indices and special reports on internal treasury, crude and many other related subject to
enable your decision making.

While the intention of this blog is to offer this wholistic view to our website visitors
and clients, the information contained on blog is for general information purposes only.
dam Smith Associates assumes no responsibility for errors or omissions in the
blog contents.

http://adamsmithassociates.blogspot.in/ https://adamsmithassociates.tumblr.com/

A Global Trade Finance Company | www.adamsmith.tv | info@adamsmith.tv

You might also like