Professional Documents
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Markets
Session I
Overview of Financial System
How is Value Created?
Learning from Economics: Learning from Finance:
Inputs produces output Efficient use of assets generate
surplus
Input Assets
Labor Human
Raw materials Physical
Knowledge Intangible
Capital Capital
Output: Output:
Product & Services Return on capital invested
Cost price is less than sell should be more than cost of
price capital
funds
Surplus Business Deficit Business
Unit (SBU) Unit (DBU)
(Households, (Government,
Corporate)
claim Corporate)
Assets Liabilities
FUNDS CLAIMS
or
DEBT or borrowed capital
or
EQUITY or owners capital
SAVERS BORROWERS
Households INDIRECT FINANCE Government/PSU
Private Corporate Financial Private Corporate
Govt/ PSU Institutions & Households
Financial market
Indirect Finance: Intermediary borrows funds from the savers and then
using this fund makes loans to the borrower spenders
There is Uncertainty (Risk) over the Real Rate of Return even if the Nominal
Return is Certain due to Uncertainty over Inflation
Uncertainty and Risk Aversion
Majority of investors are characterized by Risk Aversion.
What is risk aversion?
It does not mean that investor would not take risk
It means that investor would expect higher return to take higher risk.
Given a choice between two investments with the same expected rate
of return the investor will choose the less risky option
In the case of existence of positive inflation
The investor will not accept the expected inflation as compensation
To tolerate the inflation risk the investor will demand a POSITIVE risk
premium
Compensation over and above the expected rate of inflation
Why?
The actual inflation could be higher than anticipated resulting in
actual real rate lower than anticipated.
The Fisher equation need to be modified to take into risk aversion nature
of the investor
The Fisher equation may be restated as
Nominal Return = Real Return + Expected Inflation + Risk Premium
What Drives Interest Rate
From the discussion so far with zero default the interest rate would depends on
The real rate
The expected inflation
The risk premium of the investor
When we relax the assumption of zero default risk the interest rate would depends
Credit risk involved with the borrower, which would vary from individual to
individual
The risk of non-payment of interest rate
The risk of non-payment of principal
Higher the risk of default higher would be expected interest rate
Contd
Future Value of Money
Future Value (FV) at the end of second year
= [Rs. 10,000 ((1 + (0.10/2))1*2 + Rs. 10,000 ((1 + (0.10/2))1*2 * (0.10/2)]
+ [Rs. 10,000 ((1 + (0.10/2))1*2 + Rs. 10,000 ((1 + (0.10/2))1*2 * (0.10/2)] *
(0.10/2)
Term to Maturity
It is the time remaining for the bond to mature and time remaining for
which interest has to be paid as promised.
The company is going to pay Rs.1000 at the end of 10th year. The present
value of the maturity amount would be
1000 / (1+0.08)10 = 1000 / 2.1589 = Rs.463.19
The two parts can be added to get the value of the bond
Rs.536.81 + Rs.463.19 = Rs.1000
The bond is selling at its face value. Given the coupon rate is 8% and coupon
amount is Rs.80, the bond will be valued at Rs.1000
Valuing Debt: Example of Change in Interest rate
Let us a year has gone by and the interest rate has changed to 10%;
Tata Motors bond has 9 years to maturity.
The maturity amount at the end of 9 year is Rs.1000
The coupon rate is 8%, and coupon amount is Rs. 80.
The coupon is paid at the end of the year
The company is going to pay 9 coupons which can be treated as annuity and the
present value of the annuity would be
(R80 / 0.1) * [1 - 1 / (1+0.1)9] = 800 * [1 1 / 2.3579] = 800 * 0.57590 = Rs.460.72
The company is going to pay Rs.1000 at the end of 9th year. The present value of the
maturity amount would be
1000 / (1+0.1)9 = 1000 / 2.3579 = Rs.424.10
The two parts can be added to get the value of the bond
Rs.460.72 + Rs.424.10 = Rs.884.82
The bond would sell at Rs.885 after one year when the interest rate is 10%
Given the going interest rate is 10%, the YTM has to be 10%. The investor would
only get YTM of 10% on 8% coupon rate bond only if the investor get the bond at
discount
Loss in interest rate of 2% will compensated by the difference in value at maturity
and market price
Rs.1000 Rs. 884.82 = Rs.115.18 is nothing but the present value of difference in
coupon value at 8% and 10% coupon rate which is value of annuity of Rs.20 for 9
years discounted at 10%.
(R20 / 0.1) * [1 - 1 / (1+0.1)9] = 200 * [1 1 / 2.3579] = 200 * 0.57590 = Rs.115.18
Valuing Debt: Example of Change in Interest rate
Let us a year has gone by and the interest rate has changed to 6%;
Tata Motors bond has 9 years to maturity.
The maturity amount at the end of 9 year is Rs.1000
The coupon rate is 8%, and coupon amount is Rs. 80.
The coupon is paid at the end of the year
The company is going to pay 9 coupons which can be treated as annuity and the present
value of the annuity would be
(R80 / 0.06) * [1 - 1 / (1+0.06)9] = 1333.333 * [1 1 / 1.6895] = 1333.333 * 0.40810
= Rs.544.14
The company is going to pay Rs.1000 at the end of 9th year. The present value of the
maturity amount would be
1000 / (1+0.06)9 = 1000 / 1.6895 = Rs.591.89
The two parts can be added to get the value of the bond
Rs.544.14 + Rs.591.89 = Rs.1,136.03
The bond would sell at Rs.1,136 after one year when the interest rate is 6%
Given the going interest rate is 6%, the YTM has to be 6%. The investor would only
get YTM of 6% on 8% coupon rate bond only if the investor get the bond at premium
Gain in interest rate of 2% will compensated by the difference in value at maturity
and market price
Rs.1136.03 Rs. 1000 = Rs.136.03 is nothing but the present value of difference in
coupon value at 8% and 6% coupon rate which is value of annuity of Rs.20 for 9
years discounted at 10%.
(R20 / 0.06) * [1 - 1 / (1+0.06)9] = 333.33 * [1 1 / 1.6895] = 333.33 * 0.40810 =
Rs.136.03
Valuing Debt: Generalizing
Based on the learning from the examples we can generalize the formula for
valuing the bond
V = [C/r] * [1 1/(1+r)t] + [F/(1+r)t, where
V is the price of the bond
C is the coupon amount
r is the yield required from the bond
F is the face value or the amount received at the maturity
t is the time term left to maturity
Inverse Floater
In the case of an inverse floater the coupon varies inversely with the
benchmark.
For instance the rate on an inverse floater may be specified as 10% -
LIBOR.
In this case as LIBOR rises, the coupon will decrease, whereas as LIBOR
falls, the coupon will increase.
In case of inverse floater a a floor has to be specified for the coupon
because if the in the absence of a floor the coupon can become
negative
Callable Bonds
In the case of callable bonds the issuer has the right to call back the
bond before the maturity of the bond by paying the face value.
When the yield is falling the issuer would be better of calling back the
bond if he has the option
On the other hand the buyer would like to hold on to the bond because
he is getting higher yield, and he has a re-investment risk
The call option always works in favor of the issuer
Freely callable bonds can be called at any time and hence offer the
lender no protection. On the other hand deferred callable bonds can
be called after some pre-specified time
In some cases some premium is paid (one years coupon) at the time
of calling the bond, which is called the call premium
Putt-able Bonds
In the case of putt-able bonds the subscriber has the right to return the
bond before the maturity and collect the face value.
When the yield is rising the subscriber would be better of surrendering the
bond if he has the option
On the other hand the issuer would like the lender to hold on to the bond
because the issuer would have to pay higher yield, and he has a re-
issuance risk
The put option always works in favor of the lender
Freely putt-able bonds can be returned at any time and hence offer
the issuer no protection. On the other hand deferred putt-able bonds
can be returned after some pre-specified time
In some cases some premium is paid (one years coupon) at the time
of returning the bond, which is called the put premium
Convertible and Exchangeable Bonds
A convertible bond is right for the bond holder to convert the bond into
common stocks of the issuing corporation.
The conversion ratio (# of common stock per bond) is
predetermined.
The conversion can be made after the a pre-specified time or over
a pre-specified period.
The stated conversion ratio may also decline over time depending
on the provision
The conversion ratio generally adjusted proportionately for stock
splits and stock dividends.
Exchangeable bonds are a category of convertible bond, that grants
the holder a privilege to gets the shares of a different company.
Exchangeable bonds may be issued by firms which own blocks of
shares of another company and intend to sell them eventually by
doing in a exchangeable bond way is to defer the selling decision
because
The expectation that the price of the exchangeable stock will
rise
Tax benefit involved
Session VI & VII
Stock Market
Facets of Equity Capital
Understanding Equity Capital
A share of equity capital in the form of stocks represents fundamental
ownership of corporations
The financial claims represents the assets of the owner of the
stock
The claims on the other hand are the liability of corporations
Stocks never matures
When a corporation is incorporated a stated #of stock will be
authorized to be issued called Authorized capital / Nominal capital /
Registered capital
Issued capital: Amount stock issued
Un-issued capital: Amount of stocks not issued
Subscribed capital: Amount of stocks subscribed
Un-subscribed capital: Amount of stocks not subscribed
Called up capital
Application, allotment, and call capital
Un-called capital
Reserve capital
Paid-up capital: Amount of money paid by the subscriber's of stock
Un-paid up capital / call in arrears
Understanding Equity Capital
Stocks can be of broadly two types
Common stocks
Preferred stocks
Holders of preferred stock have to paid dividends first
In case of liquidation the preferred stock holder will have first claim to
residual value
Treasury stocks
These stocks are acquired by the corporation from the previously
issued shares through open offer
These stocks do not carry any voting rights
They are not eligible for dividends
They are not used to calculate the EPS
They can be issued as ESOP
Dividend paid can be different depending on the types of
stock
Understanding Equity Capital
Dividends are primary source of cash inflows for
the stock holder
Dividends are not contractually guaranteed
Board of director makes decision on when and how much to pay
Ownership of stock does not guarantee any cash inflow to owner
nor any outflow to the subscriber
Dividends can be paid even if corporation makes
a loss
Payments can be made from accumulated profit
Dividends can fluctuate from time to time
Pay-outs acts as signals to markets, which values price of stocks
Net profit not paid as dividends accumulates as
owners equity in the form of reserves and
surpluses
Reserves and surpluses are all accumulated retained earnings
Understanding Equity Capital
Dividends can also be paid in terms of stocks
Bonus stocks, which will happen by capitalization of reserves
Theoretically speaking it does not create any value for the stock
holder
Why does company issue bonus stocks?
Ex-Bonus stock prices adjust depending on the ration of bonus
stocks
Stocks have par value which is know as face value or stated value
Stock split will change the face value of the share
Why does company spit stocks?
Dividends are paid as percentage of face value
Stocks also have book value
Book value of stock is different from face value and market value
of the stock
# of stocks outstanding will change due to stock spilt, bonus share
issuance and right share issuance.
Rights of Stock Owner
Common stock holders has the right to vote to elect the
board of directors
Preferred stock will not have voting rights
On special circumstances preferred stock holder can vote
Voting rights are proportional, and one stock one vote
On special cases it can differ
They also has right to vote certain maters that are put into vote
They have limited liability
Liability is to the extent of equity capital contribution
They have the right to participate in right issues in case
corporation goes for rights issue to raise equity capital
Why would corporation go for right issue?
Stock Market Index
Introduction
What happens to stock market today asked by
Market Analysts
Investor
Trader
What do they mean by market?
It is not about individual stocks?
It is a portfolio of multiple assets
Weights of each assets is known
Markets gives views about the general trend
A market index aggregates information about stock
prices in the market, or sector of the market, into a
simple and easy-to-comprehend number.
It is not possible to track every stock at the same time
Uses of Market Index
Enables bench marking of performances
In comparing return from stocks and/or portfolio
Venture Capital Firms raise money from people or organization that have
investable surplus for long-term, and are willing to take high risk for incremental
returns
These organizations are pension funds, insurance companies, endowment funds,
foundations.
The organizations invest money in different kind of assets classes stocks bonds,
real estate, commodities, alternative investments, and etc.
Around 5% to 10% of the portfolios are allocated to Alternative Investments.
The organization seeks to generate high returns from these Alternative
Investments, by taking some incremental risk
What is the Structure Venture Capital Funds?
Source Deals
The GPs have to find investment opportunities by using their networks
Make Investment Decisions
Identify the winning opportunity and make investment
Manage The Investment
The GP/VCs manage the investment by taking board positions in the companies
where they have invested.
Harvest The Investment
The GP/VCs will have to return the money to LPs. Therefore, they have plan their exits
from the investment.
Economics of the Venture Capital Fund
Capital Commitment
The LPs only makes a commitment to invest, and the GPs called on to these commitment once they
identify opportunities
Capital Call
The GPs once identified opportunity, will call the capital in proportion to the commitment from the LPs
Management Fee
The GPs receive an annual Management Fee as a percentage of the Capital Commitments to the
Fund.
#of General Partners
The number of GPs is a function of the size of the fund
Sharing of Returns
The returns are shared between GPs, and LPs, once the committed returns is achieved
Compensation Driving the Performance
Committed return and the sharing formula could affect the performances of the fund
Go After the Winning Bet
The GPs are more interested in making higher returns rather than reducing risk of the portfolio.
Fund Investment Life Cycle
Fund Life
The funds generally have a 5-10 years of life. At the end of the life the GPs needs to
return the funds to the LPs
Initial Portfolio Investment
The VCs plan their investments. They do not investment every thing at one go. Every $1
invested, in initial investment, $2-$3 can be invested in case situation arises.
Timing of the Initial Investment
Typically the funds make investment with in first 2-3 years time, and rest of the life of the
fund is used for harvesting
Follow on Funds
If the GPs are successful in initial investments, then they can showcase their portfolio to
approach the LPs to make further investment to the funds, which may go beyond the
initial life of the fund
Issues that Entrepreneur Need to Think About
Is Your Business Plan Needs VC Funding
Do you have a scalable business. Once the unit models of the business is proved, you can use risk
capital to grow your business.
Are You Ready for VC Investment
VCs will push the entrepreneur to quickly grow the business so that harvesting will be profitable. As
an entrepreneur can you do it with in 4-5 years?
Are You Prepared to be a Minority Stake-holder
VC funding may result into losing some freedom
Understand the Cycle of the Fund that is Investing
Make sure the fund that is investing in your venture is at the initial cycle of the investment
Understand the Value Addition Aspect of the GPs
GPs are experienced resources, and most of the cases they are successful entrepreneurs. Make
sure you not only use the funds but also their expertise and networks.
All Funds are not Same
Understand the GPs, their incentive structure, which will drive their behavior once they make
investments. You can collect references from the existing companies where they have make
investments
Venture Capital Deal Terms
Deal Terms Depends on
Investor type
Institutional or individual
Legal structure of the investor and the terms and conditions of the
investor
The size Of investors fund availability
Can the investor fund the entire requirement
Can the investor do follow on investment
Opportunity in hand for the investor
Financial resources needed
Size of the opportunity need, the plan and the team
The funding cycle
Stage of investment from entrepreneurs prospective
Cycle of the fund from the investors prospective
Venture Capital Deal Terms
Preferred Return
The investor would like to receive the cash first before the
entrepreneur
The instrument that can achieve this is Convertible Preferred
Stock
Protection of Valuation and Position re: Future Money
Anti-dilution protection, and approval rights
Management of the Investment
Board seats, business approval and information rights
Exit Strategies
IPO and registration rights
Sale / Acquisition
Redemption of stocks
Session IX
Foreign Exchange Market
Venture Capital Deal Terms
Preferred Return
The investor would like to receive the cash first before the
entrepreneur
The instrument that can achieve this is Convertible Preferred
Stock
Protection of Valuation and Position re: Future Money
Anti-dilution protection, and approval rights
Management of the Investment
Board seats, business approval and information rights
Exit Strategies
IPO and registration rights
Sale / Acquisition
Redemption of stocks
Session X
Connecting the dots Across Markets
Venture Capital Deal Terms
Preferred Return
The investor would like to receive the cash first before the
entrepreneur
The instrument that can achieve this is Convertible Preferred
Stock
Protection of Valuation and Position re: Future Money
Anti-dilution protection, and approval rights
Management of the Investment
Board seats, business approval and information rights
Exit Strategies
IPO and registration rights
Sale / Acquisition
Redemption of stocks
Thank You