2 views

Uploaded by Rajanishshetty

Six Sigma - Historical DOE

- linear regression
- Chapter 4 Ramsey%27s Reset Test of Functional Misspecification %28EC220%29
- PRODMAN
- yushchenko
- Regression Discussion
- s01
- Econometrics Analysis
- Notice: Reports and guidance documents; availability, etc.: Cost of living allowances (nonforeign areas) survey report— Alaska, Hawaii, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands
- Tugas Analisis Regresi
- Evans Analytics2e Ppt 08
- FDP Presentation
- Predict the v and Depth of Lake 2011
- Week4_LinearRegressionReview
- 5112
- Lecture 01 Regression Analysis1.pdf
- Brashares_2003_CB_CorrelatesMammalExtiction
- Regression Details
- Polynomials
- The Unscrambler Tutorials
- SPSS

You are on page 1of 28

regression for analyses

1

Module Objectives

• Perform and analyze a “Historical DOE”

• Define potential applications in Black Belt projects

SM

2

Why Historical DOE?

• Inexpensive

• Uses available data

• Used in all applications with continuous data

• Identifies potential sources of variation

• Helps Black Belt focus where to work

• Increases process knowledge (caution)

3

What is Historical DOE?

• Passive analysis

• Used on existing, but potentially “NOISY” data

– Expect regression to have lower R-square

– Non-numerical input data must be changed to

numerical for regression

4

Historical DOE Method

2. Check integrity of data

3. Define Custom Response Surface Design

4. Analyze Response Surface Design

5. Reduce the regression model

6. Check residuals

7. Create model

8. Practical interpretation

Y = f (X )

5

Minitab HISTORICAL DOE

GATHER HISTORICAL

DATA

ANALYZE AS YOU

WOULD A NORMAL

RS DESIGN &

REDUCE

STAT> DOE>

RESPONSE

SURFACE>DEFINE

CUSTOM RS DESIGN USE REDUCED

MODEL TO

PREDICT

OUTCOMES (NOISY

DEFINE FACTORS USE DATA)

CODED DEFAULT

SETTINGS

EXPECT LOWER

THAN NORMAL R-

SQUARES

STAT> DOE> ANALYZE

RS DESIGN> TERMS>

FULL QUADRATIC

6

Step 1. Gather Historical Data

• Determine output(s)

• Align selected input(s) with output(s)

• Data could come from other DOEs

– Range is limited to these input values

– Range of input(s) determine inference space

7

Step 2. Check Integrity of Data

A B C Y

80 55 72.5 1382

75 55 69.5 1420

80 55 66.5 1436

85 55 69.5 1427

80 60 69.5 1437

85 60 72.5 1415

85 60 66.5 1442

80 60 69.5 1461

75 60 72.5 1422

75 60 66.5 1467

80 60 69.5 1447

80 65 72.5 1444

85 65 69.5 1455

80 65 66.5 1460

75 65 69.5 1449

8

Preparation for Step 3

Tool Bar Menu > Stat> DOE > Response Surface > Define Custom Response Surface Design

• Data sets in columns

9

Step 3. Define Custom Response

Surface Design

10

Step 3. Define Custom Response

Surface Design

11

Step 4. Analyze Response Surface

Design Minitab Commands

Tool Bar Menu > Stat> DOE > Response Surface > Analyze Response Surface Design

12

Step 4. Analyze Response Surface

Design Minitab Commands

13

Step 4. Analyze Response Surface

Design

Constant 1448.33 6.580 220.116 0.000

A -2.37 4.029 -0.589 0.581

B 17.88 4.029 4.436 0.007

C -17.75 4.029 -4.405 0.007

A*A -2.29 5.931 -0.386 0.715

B*B -8.29 5.931 -1.398 0.221

C*C -9.54 5.931 -1.609 0.169

A*B -0.25 5.698 -0.044 0.967

A*C 4.50 5.698 0.790 0.465

B*C 9.50 5.698 1.667 0.156

14

Step 5. Reduce the Regression Model

Constant 1442.29 3.854 374.218 0.000

B 17.87 3.605 4.958 0.001

C -17.75 3.605 -4.923 0.001

C*C -8.79 5.277 -1.665 0.127

B*C 9.50 5.099 1.863 0.092

15

Step 5. Reduce the Regression Model

(Continued)

Constant 1437.60 2.837 506.740 0.000

B 17.87 3.885 4.601 0.001

C -17.75 3.885 -4.569 0.001

B*C 9.50 5.494 1.729 0.112

16

Step 6. Check Residuals Commands

17

Step 6. Check residuals

Normal Plot of Residuals I Chart of Residuals

30 UCL=28.59

20

20

10

Residual

10

Residual

0 0 Mean=9.11E-14

-10

-10

-20

-20 -30 LCL=-28.59

-2 -1 0 1 2 0 5 10 15

Normal Score Observation Number

5

20

4

10

Frequency

Residual

3

0

2

1 -10

0 -20

-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 140014101420143014401450146014701480

Residual Fit

18

Step 7. Graphical Interpretation

Commands

19

Step 7. Graphical Interpretation

Commands

20

Step 7. Graphical Interpretation

Contour Plot of Y

72.5 1420

1430

71.5 1440

1450

70.5 1460

1470

69.5

C

68.5

67.5

66.5

55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65

B

21

Step 7. Create model (continued)

CODED

Y = 1437 . 6 + 17 . 87 ( B )

- 17 . 75 ( C )

UNCODED

22

Step 8. Practical Interpretation

• Look at:

– Residual Plots

– Contour Plots

– Formulas

• Based on current process knowledge look for factors and

trends that point to potential KPIVs

23

Historical DOE Exercise

database.

The work team reduced the Probable “X” factors

training and C) Scores on a Customer Satisfaction

survey

24

Historical DOE Exercise (continued)

2. Open HISTORICAL Sales.MTW

3. Use Historical DOE Method

4. Create a report (Power Point)

5. Prepare a report for class

6. Total time 30 Minutes

25

Application Exercise

• Decide how you could use this method for your projects

• Be prepared to present to the class

26

Key Learning Points

•

•

•

•

•

•

•

27

Module Objectives

• Perform and analyze a “Historical DOE”

• Define potential applications in Black Belt projects

28

- linear regressionUploaded bylxsii
- Chapter 4 Ramsey%27s Reset Test of Functional Misspecification %28EC220%29Uploaded byfayz_mtjk
- PRODMANUploaded bybunzz1
- yushchenkoUploaded byLelik Ant
- Regression DiscussionUploaded byapi-3696796
- s01Uploaded byAbderrhman Er
- Econometrics AnalysisUploaded byThi Nguyen
- Notice: Reports and guidance documents; availability, etc.: Cost of living allowances (nonforeign areas) survey report— Alaska, Hawaii, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, and Virgin IslandsUploaded byJustia.com
- Tugas Analisis RegresiUploaded bybrigitiwi
- Evans Analytics2e Ppt 08Uploaded byqun
- FDP PresentationUploaded byDeepti Ji
- Predict the v and Depth of Lake 2011Uploaded byPrince Sultan
- Week4_LinearRegressionReviewUploaded byLalji Chandra
- 5112Uploaded byMalcolm Christopher
- Lecture 01 Regression Analysis1.pdfUploaded byEmad
- Brashares_2003_CB_CorrelatesMammalExtictionUploaded byCarlos Mourão
- Regression DetailsUploaded bySangram Panda
- PolynomialsUploaded byapocalipsis1999
- The Unscrambler TutorialsUploaded byFahmi Ackbar
- SPSSUploaded byhimadri.roy8469
- 762.Test.2007Uploaded byPETER
- 20100433Uploaded byOlimpiu Stoicuta
- MethodologyUploaded byWin Adiyansyah
- BullEngGeolEnviron v67 2008 EstimativaRCU CargaPontual VPOUL DurezaSchmidt ArenitoCalcário Çobanoglu&ÇelikUploaded byClovis Gonzatti
- ExercisesUploaded byIrina Stanciu
- jurnal rjoas.pdfUploaded byBahrul Ulum
- 4-Optimisation of Chitinase Production Using Statistics Based Experimental DesignsUploaded byBrintha Ganapathy
- CORRELATION OF THE PHYSICAL PROPERTIES OF ETHANEUploaded byMirko Granese
- Article Agustina Dias c1k012006Uploaded byagustina
- by rakeshUploaded byRakesh Paul

- 02 Control Phase IntroUploaded byRajanishshetty
- 08 Atribute SPCUploaded byRajanishshetty
- 02 Intro to DOEUploaded byRajanishshetty
- 1 - 11 Process Mapping.pptUploaded byRajanishshetty
- 1 I Am That Nisargadatta Maharaj ResumoUploaded byanatugario
- 1 - 11 Process MappingUploaded byRajanishshetty
- Data MigrationUploaded byAshwin Chandrasekaran

- Purchase IntentionUploaded bymaleticj
- public relationsUploaded byDisha Mor
- RC 6Uploaded bytenki
- Parle g Marketing ProjectUploaded byHrdk Dve
- Executive Summary 1Uploaded byRahul Keshavan
- Consumer SatisfactionUploaded byBhagath H D Boss
- Elasticity and Its ApplicationsUploaded byRavi Mori
- The Edge Media Kit 2010Uploaded byZhi Wei Zhi Wei
- Business Environment 1Uploaded bySumit Biswas
- fvvvUploaded byJimson John
- Clickfunnels Free ReportUploaded byHoang Anh Khoi
- Organisational Behaviour_Mini Project_Amul Chocolate_Marketing StrategyUploaded byNaresh Rt
- Factors Affecting Customer Satisfaction in Bangladesh Telecom IndustryUploaded byraihans_dhk3378
- Laddering PrimerUploaded byScott Seidewitz
- Sample AnswerUploaded bykrsuicide
- 2016 Web Rfp Final DraftUploaded byvisitsandiego
- 8 01-31-2006 Amendment 8Uploaded byTimothy Gibbons
- CMT Classified Adverts 280115Uploaded byDigital Media
- Spiteri DionUploaded bynihat123
- The Five Crucial Questions to Ask About Inbound MarketingUploaded byx0business
- Agile Performance Management FrameworkUploaded bynafiz
- What creative world now needs is organization - Scott BelskyUploaded byLiberLibris
- Econ FinalllllUploaded bycaitobyrne3412
- XURPAS stockUploaded byHermo Patacsil
- BAJAJ ALLIANZ Life Insurance SumitUploaded bySamuel Davis
- Contract to Supply xUploaded bygencelle
- Ethic Issues in AdvertisingUploaded byazamabdrahim
- RETAIL STORESUploaded byMalu Mohan
- Amit Kumar GlobalizationUploaded byGaurav Uppal
- Vijay BiodataUploaded byakhil_reddy7352