Pertemuan Ke-1

Pokok Bahasan
• Pengantar Reliabiality • State Dependent
dan Maintainability. System
• Failure Distribution • Realiability Design
• Constant Failure Rate • Maintainability
• Time Dependent • Maintainability Design
Failure Models • Availability
• Reliability of System • Reliability Testing
Referensi
• E.Ebeling, Charles.” Introduction to Relaibility and
Maintainability Engineering”. 2nd Edition, 2009.
McGrawHill Internasional,
• Xie, Min et al. “Computing Reliability System”. Kluwer
Academic Publisher, 2004.
• Etc
Introduction
Study of Reliability and Maintainability

System
Complexity

Public
others
Awareness

Reliability and
Maintainability

Insistence
Product
on product
Liability
quality
Why Reliability and Maintainability ?

Life cycle costing or product

Cost benefit analysis

Operational capability study

Refair and facility resourcing

Inventory and spare parts requirement determinations

Replacement decisions

others
Life Cycle of A Product
Retirement of
Production Support Product or
Design Phase Phase Phase System
System Realase for Delivery This is end of
Definition production product to the lif cycle,
Concept for Production customer but all the
Design begin Customer knownledge
starts using gained during
Preliminary Continue the design,
Design production product and
may find development,
Design program production and
malfunction
disclosure marketing of
Field failure, product should
Preliminary malfunction be recorded
design review,
etc Corrective
action decided
Corrective
action
implemented
Random vs Deterministic
“Deterministic is complete information or under
certainty condition”

“Random is uncomplete information or under

uncertainty cinditon”
Term and Defintion
• Reliability is defined to be the probability that a
component or system will perform a required function for
a given period of time when used under stated
operating conditions.

Design Load

Operating
Environment
Conditions
Term and Definition
• Maintainability is defined to be the probability that a
failed component or system will be restored or repaired to
a specified condition within a period of time when
maintenance is performed in accordance with prescribed
procedures.
Maintenance
resources

Maintenance
program

Skill level
Term and Definition
• Availability is defined as the probability that a component
or system is performing its required function at a given
point in time when used under stated operating
conditions.
Reliability vs Quality
• Reliability is closely associated with the quality of a
product and is often considered a subset of quality.
• Quality can be defined qualitatively as th amount by
which the product satifies the user’s requirements.
• Product quality is in part a function of design and
conformance to design specifications.
• On the other hand, reliability is concerned with how long
the product continues to function once it becomes
operational.
Statistical And Mathematic Overview
Random Event
• In relaibility engineering a failure can be described as a
random event.
• A random event E will occur with some probability
denoted by P(E).
• The collection of all possible outcomes (events) relative to
a random process is called space S,
where S = {E1, E2,….EK}
P (E) + P(Ec) =1
Random Event
Example :
Let the event A = the failure of component 1 and B = the
failure of component 2.
Then:
𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 =…
𝐴𝑐 ∩ 𝐵 = ⋯
𝐴𝑐 ∪ 𝐵 = ⋯
Random Event
• Two events A and B mutually exclusive if the occurrence
of one precludes the occurrence of the other.
𝑃 𝐴∪𝐵 =𝑃 𝐴 +𝑃 𝐵
𝑃 𝐴∩𝐵 =∅
• Two events A and B independent if and only if
𝑃 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = 𝑃 𝐴 𝑃(𝐵)
• If two events are not independent, the probability of their
intersection must be defined using conditional
probability.
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
𝑃 𝐴𝐵 =
𝑃(𝐵)
Random Event
• Bayes’ Formula
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) 𝑃 (𝐵 ∩ 𝐴)
𝑃 𝐴𝐵 = =
𝑃(𝐵) 𝑃[ 𝐵 ∩ 𝐴 ∪ 𝐵 ∩ 𝐴𝑐 ]

Where B∩ 𝐴 𝑑𝑎𝑛 𝐵 ∩ 𝐴𝑐 are mutually exclusive

Random Variables
• Random variable is a variable that takes on numerical
values in accordance with some probability distribution.
• Random variable may be either continuous or discrete.
• The probability distribution that assigns a probability to
each value of a discrete random variable or assign a
probability to an interval of values of a continous
random variable can be describe in term of PMF in
discrete case and PDF in continous case.
THANK YOU......
For your attention............