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Fraud-Why do it?
From Dr. Goodstein
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ØCareer Pressure
Science is still a very strongly career-driven discipline.
Scientists depend on a good reputation to receive
ongoing support and funding; and a good reputation
relies largely on the publication of high-profile scientific
papers. Hence, there is a strong imperative to "publish
or perish". Clearly, this may motivate desperate (or
fame-hungry) scientists to fabricate results.
ØLaziness
Even on the rare occasions when scientists do falsify
data, they almost never do so with the active intent to
introduce false information into the body of scientific
knowledge. Rather, they intend to introduce a fact that
they believe is true, without going to the trouble and
difficulty of actually performing the experiments
required.
Ø
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Fraud-Why do it? (cont.)
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ØEasiness of fabrication
In many scientific fields, results are often difficult to
reproduce accurately, being obscured by noise, artifacts
and other extraneous data. That means that even if a
scientist does falsify data, they can expect to get away
with it - or at least claim innocence if their results
conflict with others in the same field. There are no
"scientific police" which are trained to fight scientific
crimes, all investigations are made by experts in
science but amateurs in dealing with criminals. It is
relatively easy to cheat.
Ø
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Fraud-Why do it? (cont.)
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ØFinances
There is the additional incentive of money. If one has a
promising proposal in an area in which federal or other
grant money or funding is available, especially in a new
technology in which there is no existing standard to
compare it with, the submission of preliminary data
cannot be confirmed until further research is done.
ØIdeology
While perhaps the least common incentive, it is still
there. The classic example would be anti-abortionists
claiming sonograms show the silent scream of an
aborted fetus demonstrates the fetus is alive with
feeling, while pro-abortionists would submit
demographic studies showing that women who
considered abortion but later decided against it are
doomed to life of dependency on welfare, lower
socioeconomic status, relationship abuse, child abuse,
drug abuse, etc. Page 5
Misuse of Statistics
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Examples:
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Huh?
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Correlation is not causation
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Quito, Equador
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Correlation is not causation
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“In the last episode, Sport Science wanted to predict the results of the
upcoming Super Bowl game between the Colts and the Saints. To do
this, they looked at some stuff from the past 10 years….
As you can see, they
looked at 4 things for
the two quarterbacks
playing in the game:
height, weight, age
difference, and state
they were born in.
From this, they
concluded that Peyton
Manning "has the
edge". I am
paraphrasing what
they actually said, but
this is basically what it
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was” (Allain).
How do I avoid post hoc?
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“To avoid falling for the post hocfallacy and thus wind up believing
many things that are not so, you need to put any statement of
relationship through a sharp inspection” (Huff, 89). Is it by chance?
Are there more than one variable? Which is the cause and which is the
effect? Can one exist without the other?
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Overgeneralization
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A
a
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Where do we see overgeneralization?
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Prevent overgeneralization:
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Outright Fraud: Case 1
Suppressing DataTemplates
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Outright Fraud: Case 1
Suppressing DataTemplates
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Outright Fraud: Case 2
Tweaking/Inventing Data
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You are right on the edge of a discovery that could change the world.
Your results could mean better, cheaper electronics, an end to the
energy crisis, or a super-effective treatment for a disease. However,
your results aren’t conclusive enough to get noticed, or at least won’t
be for several years, time that society could be benefitting from your
discoveries. (and you getting rich from the patents) What do you do?
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Outright Fraud: Case 2
Inventing Data
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Schon claims that he really did see his dies behave as reported, but
manufactured data to make his evidence more convincing.
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Introducing: Erratum
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The role of erratum
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Bibliography
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Allain, Rhett. "Sport Science: Pulling and Power." Dot Physics. Science Blogs, 01 Feb 2010. Web. 14
Oct 2010. <http://scienceblogs.com/dotphysics/2010/02/sport_science_pulling_and_powe.php>.
Dekkers, Peter J. J. M., and Gerard D. Thijs. "Making Productive Use of Students’ Initial Conceptions
in Developing the Concept of Force." Science Education 82.1 (1998): n. pag. Web. 18 Oct 2010.
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/%28SICI%291098-237X
%28199801%2982:1%3C31::AID-SCE3%3E3.0.CO;2-1/pdf>.
Geison, Gerald L. “The Private Science of Louis Pasteur” Princeton University Press, 1996
Goodstein, David; “On Fact and Fraud: Cautionary Tales from the frontline of science.”, Princeton
University Press, 2010
Hammond, Kenneth R. "Relativity and Representativeness." Philosophy of Science 18.3 (1951): 208-
211. Web. 18 Oct 2010. <http://www.jstor.org/stable/185702>.
Huff, Darrel. How to Lie with Statistics. 1st ed. Vail-Ballou Press, 1954. 87-99. Print.
“Report of the investigation committee on the Possibility of Scientific Misconduct in the Work of
Heinrick Schon and Coauthors.”
Thomsen, M., and D. Resnik. "The Effectiveness of the Erratum in Avoiding Error Propagation in
Physics." Science and Engineering Ethics. 1.3 (1995): 231-240. Print.
Comics taken from various sources, including xkcd.com and phdcomics.com Page 23