Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Kevin Kendra
February 20, 2007
ððð
ððð
" ð
ð
_ Standard tranc es of t e ABX. Index commenced trading on Feb. 14, 2007
_ Index tranc es promise to provide:
± Liquidity
± Transparency
± Standardization
± Market Consensus
_ Motivations for TABX participation:
± edging
± Relative Value Trading
± Benc marking
± Leveraged Market ositions
ððð
!
$ ð %
&
_ Subprime RMBS 101
_ Credit Default Swaps on Subprime RMBS
± Credit Default Swaps 101
± ISDA ay-As-You-Go Template 101
± Subprime RMBS AFC Risk
_ Typical Subprime RMBS ortfolio Structures
± Structured Finance CDOs 101
± ABX. and TABX. Indices 101
_ Basis Risk between TABX. and Ot er Structures
ððð
#
' ð
ððð
(
)*)
ððð
+
)*)
M11 M12 M13 M14 M15 M16 M17 M18 M19 M20
M21 M22 M23 M24 M25 M26 M27 M28 M29 M30
2/28 µAAA¶
M31 M32 M33 M34 M35 M36 M37 M38 M39 M40 RMBS
ybrid ARM
M41 M42 M43 M44 M45 M46 M47 M48 M49 M50 Mortgage
ool
M51 M52 M53 M54 M55 M56 M57 M58 M59 M60 Special
urpose
M61 M62 M63 M64 M65 M66 M67 M68 M69 M70 Ve icle
(RMBS
M µAA¶
M71 M72 M73 M74 M75 M76 M77 M78 Trust)
2000 RMBS
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 µA¶
RMBS
M11 M12 M13 M14 M15 M16 M17 M18 M19 M20 µBBB¶
Fixed Rate RMBS
M21 M22 M23 M24 M25 M26 M27 M28 M29 M30 Mortgage µBBB-¶
M31 M32 M33 M34 M35 M36 M37 M38 RMBS
M
Residual
1000
ððð
,
)*)
Sample Subprime RMBS ayments
" &&
-
" c " "
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 Sc eduled
rincipal
M11 M12 M13 M14 M15 M16 M17 M18 M19 M20 &
repayments
M21 M22 M23 M24 M25 M26 M27 M28 M29 M30
M31 M32 M33 M34 M35 M36 M37 M38 M39 M40
µAAA¶
L + % or Net =AC
M41 M42 M43 M44 M45 M46 M47 M48 M49 M50 µAAA¶
Interest
M51 M52 M53 M54 M55 M56 M57 M58 M59 M60
M61 M62 M63 M64 M65 M66 M67 M68 M69 M70 Servicer
M µAA¶
M71 M72 M73 M74 M75 M76 M77 M78 µAA¶
2000 L + % or Net =AC
M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 µA¶
µA¶
L + % or Net =AC
M11 M12 M13 M14 M15 M16 M17 M18 M19 M20 µBBB¶
L + % or Net =AC
µBBB¶
M21 M22 M23 M24 M25 M26 M27 M28 M29 M30
Sc eduled µBBB-¶
µBBB-¶
M31 M32 M33 M34 M35 M36 M37 M38 rincipal L + % or Net =AC
M & Residual
repayments Residual
1000 xcess Interest
ððð
)*
)*)
ððð
))
)*)
rincipal =aterfalls
± Sequential pay
_ All sc eduled principal and prepayments go to repay t e senior bond olders
first until paid-in-full, t en to t e next senior note older, etc.
_ Subprime RBMS are initially sequential pay for t e first t ree years and will
remain sequential pay if t e performance tests fail
± Credit n ancement (C) ³Step Downs´, if performance tests pass
_ If overcollateralization (OC) targets ave been met, t e C is stepped down by
repaying subordinate bond olders.
_ OC targets are set to double t e original subordination, ie. If t e original µAAA¶
bond subordination is 7.5% t en t e target is 15%
_ Test senior note target for compliance first and if passing t en c eck t e next
senior bond and so on.
_ Over periods of rapid prepayments all bonds may be meeting t e OC targets,
t en principal prepayments become inverse sequential pay.
ððð
)
Scenario 2: erformance Test asses t e Credit
n ancement ³Steps Down´ by aying rincipal
Scenario 1: Sequential rincipal Repayment to Subordinated Notes
"
"
Sc eduled
Sc eduled rincipal
rincipal ayments
ayments & Before Step Down
& Before Step Down repayments
repayments
µAAA¶
µAAA¶
µAA¶
µAA¶
µA¶
µA¶
µBBB¶
µBBB¶
µBBB-¶
µBBB-¶ After Step Down
Residual
Residual
ððð
)
)*)
Interest =aterfalls
± Regular interest
_ aid sequentially to bonds, capped at weig ted average mortgage
rate net of expenses (Net =AC) or available funds cap (AFC)
± xcess Interest
_ xcess interest is t e remaining interest proceeds in t e interest
collection account after paying bond olders regular interest above
_ First, excess interest is used to recover realized collateral losses
_ Second, excess interest is used to recover any interest s ortfalls
created w ere Net =AC is lower t an t e stated bond coupon
_ Finally, t e remaining excess interest goes to t e residual bond older
ððð
)!
Step 1 ± Interest Step 2 ± xcess Step 3 ± Remaining
aid Sequentially Interest to xcess Interest to
to Bonds, Capped Cover Collateral ay AFC S ortfalls
at AFC Losses
" "
Sc eduled
rincipal
&
repayments
µAAA¶
L + % or Net =AC
µAAA¶
Interest
µAA¶
µAA¶
L + % or Net =AC
µA¶
µA¶
L + % or Net =AC
µBBB¶
µBBB¶ L + % - Net =AC
L + % or Net =AC
µBBB-¶
µBBB-¶
L + % or Net =AC L + % - Net =AC
Residual Residual
xcess Interest Losses Step 4 ± Remaining
xcess Interest to
Residual older
ððð
)#
)*)
ððð
).
/ð
rotection Seller
± Receives CDS premium payment and reimbursement payments in
exc ange for providing protection payments if a credit event occurs.
± CDO note olders are protection sellers in a synt etic CDO.
rotection Buyer
± ays CDS premium in exc ange for protection payments if a credit event
occurs.
± CDS Swap Counterparty is t e protection buyer in a synt etic CDO.
Calculation Agent
± Determines t e amount of t e protection payment upon a credit event per
t e terms of t e credit default swap
± Usually t e rotection Buyer serves t is role
ððð
)+
/ð)*)
ððð
),
/ð)*)
/
" ð
CDS remium Note Coupon
(bps) (L + bps)
CLN
LIBOR roceeds
(L) ($)
Reference Collateral or
ntity or ligible
Obligation Investments
ððð
*
/ð)*)
Credit vents
± Applicable credit events will vary by CDS
± Typical credit events may include:
_ Bankruptcy
_ Failure to ay (FT )
_ Restructuring
_ Repudiation/Moratorium, usually emerging markets and sovereigns only
_ Obligation Acceleration, usually emerging markets sovereigns only
± Once a credit event as been called and settled t en t e credit default swap
is terminated
ððð
)
/ð)*)
ððð
/"001023%24c)*)
ððð
/"001023%24c)*)
Floating
ayments
/
" ð
CDS remium Note Coupon
(bps) (L + bps)
CLN
LIBOR roceeds
(L) ($)
Reference Collateral or
Obligation ligible
Investments
ððð
!
/"001023%24c)*)
ððð
#
/"001023%24c)*)
AUG Settlement
± T e secondary market for structured finance securities is not liquid and
t erefore valuation procedures are not applicable
± Floating payments are designed to replicate t e actual loss amounts
± If a credit event occurs t en t e rotection Buyer as t e option to
p ysically deliver all or part of t e notional amount to t e Seller
_ If t e entire notional is p ysically settled t en t e CDS is terminated
_ If a portion of t e notional is settled t en t e CDS continues on t e
remaining amount
ððð
.
/"001023%24c)*)
Interest S ortfalls
± RMBS reference obligations are called AFC s ortfalls
± CMBS reference obligations are called =AC s ortfalls
± CDO reference obligations are called IK-ing s ortfalls
ððð
(
$
ððð
+
$
7
$5
5
??? ,6 6
?? 6 ,6
?? ,6 6
?? 6 6
? 6 6
6
? ,
6 6
6 6
? 6 6 6 6
,6 6
6 ,6
6 6 ,
6 6
6
6 ,6 6
6
6
6
6 6
6
ððð
,
8"
9 $
ððð
*
ððð
$/')*)
ððð
$/')*)
ððð
!
$/')*)
ððð
#
$/')*)
ððð
.
$/')*)
roceeds
LIBOR
($)
(L)
Collateral or
ligible
Investments
ððð
(
$/')*)
ððð
+
$/')*)
ððð
,
$/')*)
ððð
!*
$/')*)
ððð
!)
-
c -
)*)
RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS
RMBS
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 20
µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶ µAAA¶
RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS -
µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶ µAA¶
RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS
RMBS
-
µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ µA¶ -
RMBS
RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS
µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶ µBBB¶
RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS
RMBS
-
µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ µBBB-¶ - 0
RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS RMBS
Residual Residual Residual Residual Residual Residual Residual Residual Residual Residual Residual Residual
ððð
!
-
c -
)*)
ððð
!
-
c -
)*)
µBBB¶ µBBB¶
RMBS 1 RMBS 1
µBBB¶ µBBB¶
RMBS 2 RMBS 2
µBBB¶ µBBB¶
RMBS 3 RMBS 3
µBBB¶ µBBB¶
35 ± 100%
RMBS 4 RMBS 4
µBBB¶ µBBB¶
RMBS 5 RMBS 5
µBBB¶ µBBB¶
RMBS 6 RMBS 6
µBBB¶ µBBB¶
RMBS 7 RMBS 7
µBBB¶ µBBB¶
RMBS 8 20 ± 35%
RMBS 8
12 ± 20%
7 ± 12%
3 ± 7%
µBBB¶ µBBB¶
RMBS 20 RMBS 20 0 ± 3%
ððð
!!
-
c -
)*)
ððð
!#
-
c -
ððð
!(
ððð
xð1
One State Street laza
New York, NY 10004
Tel. +1 212 908 0500
Ë
101 Finsbury avement
London C2A 1RS
Tel. +44 (0) 20 7862 4000
&8&
Suite 3902, Tower Two, Lippo Centre
89 Queensway, ong Kong
Tel. +852 2263 9963