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H 2O HFCs
PFCs
Water vapor
CO2
Global temp
CH4
• Global atmospheric
concentrations of carbon
dioxide, methane & nitrous
oxide have increased as a
result of human activities since
1750.
– Pre industrial value: 280
ppm
– 2005 value: 379 ppm
TOTAL: 103,085
kt CO2
Source: 1994 Philippine GHG
Inventory
It will continue to
get hotter in this
century and beyond.
Levels • Intensify
flooding
Metro Manila
Metro Cebu
Many of our LGUs are highly vulnerable –
located in coastal areas
• Inundate
wetlands and
other low lying
lands
Adaptation provides
the way to prepare for
and respond to
these impacts.
This is
the challenge
we face.
SALTWATER
INTRUSION
2003
Based on the * Winter temps will
change more than
IPCC middle summer temps.
1 oC increase leads to
15% decrease in rice yield
Arceo, et. al. Coral Bleaching in the Philippines. Disturbing Climate. 2001
World Wildlife Fund. Climate Change Scenarios for the Philippines
CORAL
BLEACHING
&
DEATH
Coral reefs occupy 1% of total earth’s surface
but is home to 25% of marine life
40 Million Filipinos depend on seafood
as their primary source of protein.
50% of Filipinos depend
on agriculture
/mariculture
as their primary source
of livelihood.
Annual
mean
More precipitation
precipitation expected to
increase
from about 14% in
increased East Asia –
evaporation but this is
due to higher not
distributed
temp evenly in the
region
Risk: Climate Change
(Rainfall)
Rainfall Hazards
Disasters: Earth falls
Change
Source: IPCC 4th Assessment Report: Summary for Policy-makers
In summary, harm’s way:
• Typhoon
– Luzon (north, southeast), Visayas (east)
• Drought (El Nino)
– Mindanao (central, west)
• Climate Change
– Temperature: Mindanao, Visayas (central)
– Rainfall: Luzon (central, south, southeast),
Visayas (east)
CONCLUSION
• Business as usual is NOT AN OPTION!
Industrialized
Country
Emission reduction
compared to an
existing baseline
Certified Emission
Reduction (CER)
From Tragedy
to
Triumph!
Financial
benefits to
Montalban, Rizal:
Estimated emission
reduction of 8.1M tons
of CO2e
We have no choice.
THE WORLD IS CHANGING.