Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Bradley Jansen
“The Transition to Sound Money”
Austrian Scholars Conference
Mises Institute March 14, 2008
Global Possibilities
Free Banking for developing
countries
• Scottish example similar to conditions
in many developing countries today:
need competition
Gold-denominated bonds by gold
producing countries
End IMF discrimination against gold
Free Banking: The Scottish Experience
as a Model for Emerging Economies
Randy Kroszner
World Bank Policy research working paper
No. 1536 (1995)
In the beginning of the eighteenth century
Scotland was much poorer than England. By the
mid-eighteenth century the GNP per capita in
Scotland was roughly half of that in England. By
the mid-nineteenth century, however, Scotland's
GDP per capita nearly equaled that of England.
Scotland as a Model for LDCs
The relative poverty
of many emerging
countries is similar to
1700s Scotland
GDP per capita
disparity wider now
Proximity and
dependence on larger
financial center in
London
Emerging Law and Economics
Scotland 1700s Developing world
Infancy of contract now
law Lack of market
Uncertainty with solutions
new financial Lack of private
products sector competition
Development of Barriers to new
new market entrants in market
solutions with
competition
Brash New Zealand Reforms
Don Brash, Governor,
Reserve Bank
“the only thing
monetary policy can
deliver in the long
term is an inflation
rate, and the best
inflation rate is price
stability”
Reserve Bank of New
Zealand Act of 1989
Bank accountable for delivering price stability--
fire governor for “inadequate performance”
Need for fundamental change after dramatic
foreign exchange crisis in 1984
Mandatory transparency of the objective and the
modus operandi of the Bank
Reduced staff from about 600 in the late '80s to
about 285 in ten years
Considered remuneration inverse to inflation
Negotiated seigniorage 5-yr budget income
NZ Finance Minister Ruth
Richardson to Don Brash
Ruth: "Look there's no way I can agree to a 1 percent
annual increase in resources for the Bank; I'm asking
government departments to live with no increase at all."
“…after a decade of
destabilizing inflation and
economic stagnation…”
Greenspan’s Gold Bond Proposal
Problem fixing gold price with market forces
Make the dollar as good as gold, i.e., stabilize
the general price level
Convertibility can be instituted gradually by, in
effect, creating a dual currency with a limited
issue of dollars convertible into gold. Initially
they could be deferred claims to gold, for
example, five-year Treasury Notes with interest
and principal payable in grams or ounces of gold
Each $10 billion in equivalent gold notes
outstanding would, under stable gold prices,
save $1.5 billion per year in interest outlays
US Gold Commission Report
“Several witnesses at the hearings we conducted suggested that
Treasury issue of gold-backed notes or bonds would be a means
of introducing gold into our monetary system. A limited issue,
for example, of five-year Treasury notes with interest and
principal payable in grams or ounces of gold, would provide
deferred claims on gold. Initially, according to the advocates,
the yield spreads between gold and inconvertible dollar
obligations of the same maturities might be wide. Success in
restoring long-term confidence in monetary discipline would
eventually narrow the yield spreads. At that time, full gold
convertibility of all dollar obligations might be contemplated.
These witnesses emphasized the savings on interest payments by
the Treasury, assuming the price of gold remained stable or rose
only moderately, and hence a positive effect on Federal budget
deficits…
Recommendation: oppose issue of
Treasury gold-backed notes/bonds
“In our deliberations, it was noted by opponents of gold-backed
Treasury securities that a gold-backed Treasury note or bond, if
convertible at maturity at the market price of gold at the date of
issue, would in effect be a warehouse certificate for gold. Such an
instrument would provide the owner the same chance of gain or loss as
owning gold, without his incurring the cost of storage and insurance.
No obvious guideline exists for pricing the instrument. A Treasury issue
of gold-backed notes or bonds, paying even a low rate of interest,
would permit speculation on gold with a sweetener of a coupon. Such
issues would be comparable to a bond convertible into the common
stock of a corporation that has a low coupon because of the possibility
of speculative gain. Purchase of Treasury gold-backed issues would
indicate an expectation that the price of gold would rise. The Treasury
would then be betting against the market, with no assurance of gain
and a major risk of Treasury losses. From a debt management
viewpoint, no need exists for gold-backed Treasury issues.”
Trim Fed Functions
Examination of federal banking regulations concerning
effects on price signaling of money and credit allocation
such as the Community Reinvestment Act
More transparency especially for the FOMC dealings
End Federal Reserve’s contradictory dual mission of price
stability and full employment (focus on prices)
End discrimination in Fed-sponsored research
List all functions and activities of the Fed, examine each
and determine whether that function, in the current
environment, is best placed to remain with the Fed, the
Congress, the states, U.S. Treasury or the private sector
End Discrimination Against Fiat
Dollar Alternatives